Hacker News new | past | comments | ask | show | jobs | submit
> Humans are very expensive, so the equation almost always falls against them.

You underestimate what these models cost. Uber's budget is $1,500/dev/month. I gather that was put in place because the dev's were going through $6,000/dev/month, which Uber decided could not be cost justified.

Fable costs at least twice as much, or $12,000/dev/month.

Fable can apparently work for hours without supervision, which means a skilled engineer can now have it working on many tasks concurrently. I would not be at all surprised if they can put a nought or two on that number. If you do that, you are well out of "what a human costs" territory.

> I would not be at all surprised if they can put a nought or two on that number.

People keep saying this and it keeps not happening.

ChatGPT Pro was $200/mo when it launched in '23 for a ~100B class model with 8k context. Claude Max is now the same price for practically unlimited access to a ~1T class model with 1M context.

Moore's law never died, it just switched architectures.