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Private capital. That detail seems to derail your whole comment.
> “I think this will be the most important project of this era,” Altman said on Tuesday. “We wouldn’t be able to do this without you, Mr. President.”

Since when does "private capital" speak in such honeyed tones to state powers?

https://www.cnn.com/2025/01/21/tech/openai-oracle-softbank-t...

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Bookmark this - This private capital will eventually backed by Govt guarantees on the loan banks gives. Which will socialize the loss and privatize profit...
Also the fact that two of the names in the headline are foreign owned. (North Korea is an autark's wet dream.)
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> > Private capital

Groupthink capital, directed by mostly 2 "thought leaders".

Economies don't like Groupthink Capital, regardless of it being private, public or a combination of the 2

Of course the US economy as a whole is huge so even billions can be absorbed, once you start talking about half a trillion though...

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How so? Does this capital being private ensure "this time will be different"?
> Does this capital being private ensure "this time will be different"?

South America didn't have a mix of domestic and foreign investors deploying massive quantities of private money into capital assets in the 60s and 70s. They had governments borrowing to fund their citizens' consumption. Massive difference on multiple levels.

Moreover, if a government is funneling taxpayer money into the projects of a few citizens, that is a clear red flag of corruption. Whereas if private entities are deciding to invest their own capital into infrastructure, it's unclear what the complaint even is
> They had governments borrowing to fund their citizens' consumption.

The problem here being that it was money spent that was never earned back, and money that eventually had to be paid back, right?

This can also happen with private capital. 2008 was a bust caused by private banks, for example. AI hasn't proven to be profitable yet [1], and I'm not sure it'll makes a difference, for the success of projects like this, wether the money is coming from government or not.

In fact, if the 2008 bank bail-out, auto industry bail-out, the Silicon Valley bank prop-up, and other such actions by the US government are considered [2], if this turns out to be a bubble it will be taxpayers who end up fronting the bill.

[1] https://www.cbc.ca/news/business/ai-generative-business-mone...

[2] https://www.investopedia.com/articles/economics/08/governmen...

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Capital owners allocate their capital to their "pet projects" all day every day. That is how the whole thing works.

I'm not saying "this time will be different". I'm saying this is business as usual.

$500b is not business as usual for any corporation. Centralized planning doesn't fail because of government bureaucrats, it fails because there is too much spending to be decided on by too few people.

Zuckerberg lost $30bn or more trying to create a VR amusement park. Scale that up to $500bn and see how much waste and dead-weight losses are created.

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They should be free to decide how to spend their money?