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"You don't get credit for the work you don't tell anybody about"

This has been a problem long before Godel: famously, Newton tried to get credit for inventing Calculus only after Leibniz published his work, leading to a bitter dispute that lasted long after they both died.

I wonder if this problem is now going to be significantly exacerbated by AI, as mathematicians are getting more incentives to keep their works secret —

— or, to the contrary, the community will get a push to publish incomplete ideas, scratch work, etc. early to establish a record of thinking about a problem before others did.

In the end, as always, it's a social problem created by " publish or perish " institutional incentives which reward (and require!) published results, but not the work that led to to them.

This, I hope, will finally change.

Maybe we'll see a solid societal use case for zero-knowledge proofs here, establishing one had a set of documents at a given date without revealing them.
you can just write a doc with your proof/idea, hash it and post that hash on twitter
Yes, you can. So maybe we'll see an adoption of that paradigm, or another. The value of a ZKP is that you can optionally prove some facts up front about the file, whereas a normal hash is all-or-nothing. You can't reveal part of the information because you need the entire contents to properly verify the hash.
ceiiinosssttuv
Thanks for putting me onto this, that was new to me. And of course Huygens was all over this idea.
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so what would the new incentives be? don't publish... and get paid anyway?
At least that's how traditional Western universities used to work. The profs sometimes published something, and they taught students. Looking at science back then, it seemed to work out rather well.
If possible, this would be ideal.