> and concretely nothing of any significance has happened to the world

I would hypothesize that all the long-held "easily discovered if you look in the right place, but never reported and so never fixed" 0days in operating systems that criminal gangs and militaries have been relying on (to do cyberattacks with, unlock devices for forensic data recovery with, etc.), are increasingly being exposed and cleaned up, much faster than new such exploits can be discovered; and that this may have given an edge to whichever side of these conflicts don't rely so heavily on hacking the other to achieve their goals.