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My comment[0] tries to explain the nuance and I would agree with you and both the GP in some sense.

For Entreprise, the shift will be towards hyperscalers as they want trust and less blame (Nobody got fired for picking AWS)

For consumers, we care about pricing and stability and control and we will move back to our own hardware or cheap VPS providers and self-host things.

The middle ground would be where the slight pain could be at in my opinion.

[0]: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=50307410

> For consumers <snip> self-host things.

That's not how consumers work. That's a nerd/geek/hobbyist mentality.

If Ikea and Wayfair went out of business you wouldn't expect consumers too take up woodworking and build their own furniture en masse.

For consumers/small orgs, how is the security at a cheap VPS provider going to be any better than at a cheap IaaS provider?
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