Hacker News new | past | comments | ask | show | jobs | submit
> Google will be considered "the new IBM" in 20 years.

They have plenty of great tech for consumers right now: Gmail, Maps, YouTube, Chrome, Android,..

You can perhaps argue that search might suffer because of AI but they've done a great job scaling horizontally into many verticals.

I don't think Google is going anywhere.

The newest of those are 20 years old.

Let’s be honest. Google was amazing back then, now they’re just an ad-business flailing around in other side quests.

GCP/Vertex, Firebase, Spanner, Waymo, Gemini + Nano Banana, Google Photos, TPUs, Pixel, Assistant, Google Fi, Taara...
Most of those are also at least a decade old, and some of them are acquisitions.
It's a lot of stuff, but with the possible exception of Waymo and the TPU, isn't this all going down in history under "also ran"?
Every single one of these hemorrhages money from their ad business
Gmail is going to be Google's System/390 mainframes.
People used to say the same thing about Microsoft with Windows you know...
Once upon a time it would've been unthinkable for Google search to become awful and nearly worthless due, in large part, by Google's discretionary choices.

Related - interns these days don't seem to have any particular preference for using Google for finding information...

Google search is bad because there aren't any websites anymore. It's not really possible for it to be good.
Comments like this make me wonder if we're all inhabiting the same reality.
That's for multiple reasons - many of them directly being Google's fault with intentional choices made towards this end.
Can you explain this behavior a little bit more. Where do they seek information - is it a consumer chat app, social media app’s search functions?
Bing because it's the default on their web browsers they've used in college and work.

But moreso - whatever the default is what they use. They have zero attachment to Google.

Bing shows no signs of marketshare growth: https://gs.statcounter.com/search-engine-market-share
I noticed that website doesn't show the absolute numbers involved in search engine use.

And you ignored the part where I said "they use the default".

^FTFY “interns these days don’t seem to have any particular preference for finding information”
I think it's a bit inflated to label Gmail a "great tech for consumers". Maps certainly, YouTube mostly, Chrome & Android for loyalists, but Gmail hasn't been "great tech" for well over a decade.

Additionally these are all old products - even the company's more recent products such as Gemini feel stale and on unsteady ground.