My real world experience of this is that people prefer not to code by hand because it feels wasteful relative to agent speeds, so they find non-coding productive activities such as code/documentation review or usability testing.

What would you do if there is a significant outage in AWS or GCP or Github or JIRA or any other service you use at work? same goes for AI tools as well.

If both of them are down at the same time, I would switch to my Kimi or GLM subscription and keep working. If they fail too, I switch to any number of providers via OpenRouter.

While there is some lock-in for the hardest tasks, for most of what people do LLMs are rapidly becoming a commodity.

In fact, right this minute I have Opus benchmarking Kimi alongside itself to determine which workflows we'll switch to using Kimi by default and Opus as the fallback instead of vice versa. It has already conceded Kimi does better on several tasks.

Those are your tools and if the AI companies have their way, they will be your only tools. Complete dependence on AI is the goal here.

You mean like GitHub?

easy, we will switch to OpenRouter et al.