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> So I'll say it again, AI will win a fields medal for before managing a McDonald's simply because there are enough big problems within arms reach than their current capacity to plan over time

AI can manage a McDonald’s already. If manage means directing humans to do something to ensure the store is running. If manage means running robots, then yes maybe that is 5 years away but just directing humans to run a store, that is possible right now.

No it can't. Show me a business which uses in context learning to manage a McDonald's
Well that’s a problem of incentives. Why would a manager outsource their own job to an AI?
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Have you not seen vend bench?