I think this is an interesting analogy. If AI is really progressing as rapidly as some describe, should we expect a robotics renaissance with automated-chef appliances etc?

In other words, when will we really see a transition from "yet another token generator" to something that appears to coherently observe, perceive, form intent, plan, and act in a way that is compatible with an existing, long-running human context?

(And, also, do this with enough determinism to be a viable product and not some gaping liability...)

Gemini at least will produce small functional inline sample apps without being explicitly told to, particularly if you're trying to learn about something, it'll produce an interactive diagram or similar. I can see a future where these kinds of end users aren't necessarily saying "I can build an app for this", but their AI can just produce one when appropriate.

If they can do it from their couch by talking to their phone, they might.

They can be bothered to order food. The machine will figure out the rest with the help of other machines and the network

the thing is they won't need to "cook" anymore to get it done. they can just... describe what they want to eat.

> Now they're going to build their own software every time they think they need an app..?

As others have said, this will be more like ordering food than "building". It's not there yet, but soon-ish it might be.