Neither you nor any of the other people making confident takes in either direction actually know. You're just guessing.
More like repeating their firmly entrenched preconceptions. Their claims may (or may not) be right, but there's very little if any new evidence being provided by either camp.
The real uncomfortable thing is that because we cannot confidently know, the moral defacto position is to treat them like they are.
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They are confidently hallucinating a factual statement. Which is funny when claiming that confident hallucinations are the proof of LLMs' lack of intelligence.
One side is making a positive assertion. The other is making a negative assertion. One side can prove it's right. The other, logically, cannot.
One camp has to offer it's proof. If it has none then that _in and of itself_ is highly suggestive.
People have fully turned their minds off on this subject. It's disgusting.
No, you're just guessing, as you don't know a single thing about me, what I've researched, or what work I've done on this subject. Other than suggesting that I might be wrong, for what reasons one can only guess, you've actually offered nothing yourself.
In any case, what data, if any at all, did you use to arrive at this egotistical assertion?
Your posts are very much like "I have discovered a truly marvelous proof of this, which this margin is too narrow to contain".
If a definitive answer on this topic was known then it, well, would be known.