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dozerly | on: Using AI to write better code more slowly
I think as long as it continues to be tangibly better these people will still exist and the intersection will continue to be valuable enough to survive.
josephg | parent
> as long as it continues to be tangibly better these people will still exist

Sure. But how long will that last? LLMs are getting better at programming much faster than I am.

Imagine a plot with time on the X axis and LLM skill on the Y axis. The line goes up and to the right. On the left is GPT3, or GPT3.5 with the very first glimmers of programming ability just a few short years ago. In the middle is Opus 4.7 now.

Where's the intersection point, where AI skill is higher than that of humans? Less than 10 years. I'd guess less than 5 years.

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vanuatu | root | parent
I think a better way to think about it is - what are the invariants to our current architecture? Why can't you tell Claude to build you a 1B$ business, make no mistakes?

I have no doubt they will be better programmers than almost every human that has ever existed. But the role of a SWE will expand to fill the gaps that the LLM paradigm hasn't filled:

- Accountability

- Long term architectural vision, goal setting

- Everchanging business context

- Mercurial executives, people problems, relationships etc...