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>if you don't know where to look

I mean fuck, I can pretty easily find the strait of hormuz on the map, pretty sure intelligence agencies can too and just look there for the carrier. If I can't find the carrier there, then I can plot the course between France and hormuz and do a brute force search over that course taking into account such a ship's relative velocity, since it's not like the carrier is gonna zig-zag through south america and the north pole on its way there to avoid detection. Is what I'm saying something sci-fi?

It is dangerous to believe a problem goes only as deep as one's understanding of it.
I am always open to corrections from specialists in the field or just any average joes with a different opinion. That's why I keep coming here.
It is absolutely one of the better benefits of this forum
> I can pretty easily find the strait of hormuz on the map, pretty sure intelligence agencies can too

Seems to have come as a shock to the US government.