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> I'm highly bullish on their capabilities as a force multiplier, but highly bearish on them becoming self-driving (for anything complex at least).

Very well summed and this is my exact stance, it's just that I am not seeing much of the "force multiplier" thing just yet. Happy to be proven wrong, but last time I checked (August 2024) I didn't get almost anything. Might be related to the fact that I don't do throwaway code, and I need to iterate on it.

Recently used Cursor/Claude sonnet to port ~30k lines of EOL Livescript/Hyperscript to Typescript/JSX in less than 2 weeks. That would have took at least several months otherwise. Definitively a force multiplier, for this kind of repetitional work.
Shame that you can't probably open-source this, that would have been a hugely impressive case study.

And yeah, out of all the LLMs, it seems that Claude is the best when it comes to programming.

Do not know how you are using them? It speeded up my development around 8-10x, things i wouldnt have done earlier i'm doing now, e let it do by the AI; writing boilerplate etc. Just great!
8-10x?! That's quite weird if you ask me.

I just used Claude recently. Helped me with an obscure library and with the hell that is JWT + OAuth through the big vendors. Definitely saved me a few hours and I am grateful, but those cases are rare.

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Sonnet 3.5 v2 was released in October. Most people just use this. First and only one that can do passable front end as well.
Thank you, I'll check it out.