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I think the ultimate answer as an American is that policy simply does not matter. For reference, here's a couple conflicting data points:

* Voters approved measures that would protect abortion in their state (with the exception of Florida, which only got 58% out of the 60%) needed. Said voters did not consistently vote for Kamala Harris.

* Another set of voters thought Kamala Harris was too progressive, and had no opinion on Donald Trump

* But at the same time, in local elections democratic candidates generally sweeped the ballots

I think ultimately the presidency is just an election purely on the basis of 'vibes' and whatever is directly in front of you. It doesn't matter if you can achieve your promises nor do said promises even really matter. And people vibe more with the reality TV president because they've already forgotten 2016-2020. Maybe Trump directly crashing the economy will be the thing to snap people out of it, maybe not.