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All I’m saying is you used the word “if” a lot there.

AGI assumes exponential, preferably infinite and continuous improvement, something unseen before in business or nature.

Neither siri nor Alexa were sold as AGI and neither alone come close to a $1B product. gpt and other LLMs has quickly become a commodity, with AI companies racing to the bottom for inference costs.

I don’t really see the plan, product wise.

Moreover you say: > Ilya proved himself as a leader, scientist, and engineer over the past decade with OpenAI for creating break-through after break-through that no one else had.

Which is absolutely true, but that doesn’t imply more breakthroughs are just around the corner, nor does the current technology suggest AGI is coming.

VCs are willing to take a $1B bet on exponential growth with a 500B upside.

Us regular folk see that and are dumbfounded because AI is obviously not going to improve exponentially forever (literally nothing in the observed universe does) and you can already see the logarithmic improvement curve. That’s where the dismissive attitude comes from.

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